Robinson Tuition
Grade 6 · Higher · free GCSE maths worksheet

Conditional probability with tree diagrams

Without replacement.

15 original questions, 57 marks. Print the worksheet, mark it with the answers sheet, and use the solutions to see every step written out by hand.

Worksheet PDFWorked solutions PDFAnswers PDF

The questions

1

A bag contains 4 red counters and 6 blue counters.

Two counters are taken from the bag at random, without replacement.

Work out the probability that the two counters are different colours.

3 marks
Show answer
815
2

A bag contains 3 red counters and 5 blue counters. Two counters are taken at random without replacement.

  1. Write down the probability that the first counter is red, and the probability that the second is blue given that the first was red.
  2. Work out the probability that the first is red and the second is blue.
  3. Work out the probability that both counters are blue.
3 marks
Show answer
a) 3/8 and 5/7 b) 15/56 c) 5/14
3

Five cards are numbered 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5.

Two cards are taken at random, without replacement.

The two numbers are multiplied together.

Work out the probability that the product is even.

3 marks
Show answer
710
4

A box contains 5 green pegs and 3 white pegs.

Two pegs are taken from the box at random, without replacement.

Work out the probability that both pegs are green.

3 marks
Show answer
514
5

A bag contains 6 red counters and 4 blue counters. Two counters are taken at random without replacement.

  1. Given that the first counter is red, write down the probability that the second counter is blue.
  2. Work out the probability that the two counters are the same colour.
4 marks
Show answer
a) 4/9 b) 7/15
6

A box contains 12 chocolates: 5 dark and 7 milk. Ravi takes two chocolates at random without replacement.

Work out the probability that at least one of the chocolates is dark.

3 marks
Show answer
15/22
7

A bag contains 7 red beads and 5 blue beads.

Two beads are taken from the bag at random, without replacement.

Work out the probability that exactly one of the beads is red.

4 marks
Show answer
3566
8

A packet contains 9 mints and 5 toffees. Chloe takes two sweets at random without replacement.

Work out the probability that the second sweet is a toffee.

3 marks
Show answer
5/14
9

The probability that Ravi cycles to work on Monday is 0.7.

If he cycles on Monday, the probability that he cycles on Tuesday is 0.9.

If he does not cycle on Monday, the probability that he cycles on Tuesday is 0.4.

Work out the probability that Ravi cycles to work on Tuesday.

4 marks
Show answer
0.75
10

A drawer contains 8 black socks and 6 white socks. Two socks are taken at random without replacement.

Given that the two socks are the same colour, work out the probability that they are both white.

4 marks
Show answer
15/43
11

Six cards are numbered 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 and 6.

Two cards are taken at random, without replacement.

The two numbers are added together.

Work out the probability that the sum is even.

4 marks
Show answer
25
12

A tin contains 12 chocolates. 5 are dark chocolate and 7 are milk chocolate.

Nina takes two chocolates at random, without replacement.

Work out the probability that she takes at least one dark chocolate.

4 marks
Show answer
1522
13

A bag contains 5 blue counters and 7 white counters.

Tom takes 3 counters from the bag at random, one at a time, without replacement.

He takes 2 blue counters and 1 white counter.

  1. Write down the number of blue counters left in the bag.
  2. Tom now takes two more counters at random, without replacement. Work out the probability that both of these counters are white.
5 marks
Show answer
a) 3 b) 5/12
14

A bag contains 4 red discs and 8 blue discs.

Meg takes two discs from the bag at random, without replacement.

Meg says,

"The probability that both discs are blue is more than three times the probability that both discs are red."

Is Meg correct? You must show your working.

5 marks
Show answer
Yes. P(both blue) = 812 x 711 = 56132 = 1433 and P(both red) = 412 x 311 = 12132 = 111. Three times P(both red) = 36132, and 56132 > 36132, so Meg is correct.
15

A box contains 5 red pens and 4 blue pens.

Milo takes a pen at random and does not replace it.

He then takes a second pen at random.

  1. Complete the probability tree diagram.
  2. Work out the probability that Milo takes at least one red pen.
First penSecond penRedRedBlueBlueRedBlue
5 marks
Show answer
a) first pick 5/9 and 4/9; second pick 4/8, 4/8 after red and 5/8, 3/8 after blue b) 5/6

Every question here is original and written by Robinson Tuition. The grade follows the Edexcel grade descriptors and suits AQA and OCR too; this is not an exam-board paper.

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